Over 1.5 goals@1.69
Over 1.5
59%
NGANPFL · Matchday 9Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Enyimba International Stadium
Enyimba
19th · 8 pts0–0FULL TIME
Warri Wolves
14th · 12 pts37% Enyimba
31% Draw
32% Warri
OUR PICK
Enyimba to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.71
Expected goals
1.04 – 0.95
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.71X3.2423.11
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.47
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.66
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.66
NG
60%
Double chance@1.45
12
69%
Season stats
EnyimbaWarri Wolves1.1Goals per game0.6
1.5Conceded per game0.7
0.80Points per game1.20
20%Win rate30%
-4Goal difference-1
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Enyimba form
WLDLWH Kun Khalifat FC1–0
A Nasarawa United1–0
H Warri Wolves0–0
A Katsina United4–2
H Plateau United2–0
Warri Wolves form
DDDWLA Plateau United1–1
H Kano Pillars0–0
A Enyimba0–0
H Inter Lagos3–1
A Doma United1–0
Head to head
0
Enyimba
3
Draw
2
Warri
Oct 2026Enyimba – Warri Wolves0–0
Mar 2026Warri Wolves – Enyimba2–1
Oct 2025Enyimba – Warri Wolves1–2
Jun 2021Enyimba – Warri Wolves1–1
Mar 2021Warri Wolves – Enyimba1–1
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United10+1017
2Enugu Rangers8+517
3Nasarawa United10+317
4Barau FC11+316
5Niger Tornadoes11+116
6Plateau United10+415
7Bendel Insurance9+215
8Sporting Lagos9+215
9Kano Pillars10+115
10Doma United10015
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Enyimba 37%, the draw 31%, Warri Wolves 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.04 for Enyimba, 0.95 for Warri Wolves), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Enyimba sit 19th on 8 points; Warri Wolves are 14th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.