Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
NGANPFL · Matchday 7Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Enyimba International Stadium
Enyimba
17th · 11 pts2–0FULL TIME
Plateau United
6th · 16 pts26% Enyimba
24% Draw
50% Plateau
OUR PICK
Plateau United to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.73
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.81X4.2222.00
Goals 2.5Over1.79Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
EnyimbaPlateau United1.1Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.00Points per game1.45
27%Win rate36%
-3Goal difference4
7Form, last 5 (pts)5
Enyimba form
WLDLWH Kun Khalifat FC1–0
A Nasarawa United1–0
H Warri Wolves0–0
A Katsina United4–2
H Plateau United2–0
Plateau United form
DDLWLH Warri Wolves1–1
A Katsina United2–2
H Sporting Lagos2–3
H Kano Pillars4–0
A Enyimba2–0
Head to head
2
Enyimba
1
Draw
2
Plateau
Oct 2026Enyimba – Plateau United2–0
Mar 2026Enyimba – Plateau United2–0
Oct 2025Plateau United – Enyimba2–1
May 2025Enyimba – Plateau United0–1
Dec 2024Plateau United – Enyimba0–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Plateau United slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.19 for Enyimba, 1.73 for Plateau United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Enyimba sit 17th on 11 points; Plateau United are 6th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.