Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
74%
NGANPFL · Matchday 12Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Nnamdi Azikiwe Stadium
Enugu Rangers
2nd · 18 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kwara United
15th · 12 pts55% Enugu
24% Draw
21% Kwara
OUR PICK
Enugu Rangers to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.96
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.83X4.1624.71
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG1.98NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.98
GG
50%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
Enugu RangersKwara United1.7Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game1.2
2.00Points per game1.09
56%Win rate27%
5Goal difference-1
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Enugu Rangers form
DLWDWA Rivers United1–1
A MC Alger3–0
H MC Alger2–0
A Barau FC2–2
H Abia Warriors3–1
Kwara United form
LDDLWH Bendel Insurance1–2
A Barau FC1–1
H Abia Warriors1–1
A Ikorodu City2–0
H Ranchers Bees2–1
Head to head
1
Enugu
4
Draw
0
Kwara
Mar 2026Kwara United – Enugu Rangers0–0
Oct 2025Enugu Rangers – Kwara United0–0
Mar 2025Enugu Rangers – Kwara United3–0
Oct 2024Kwara United – Enugu Rangers1–1
Mar 2024Enugu Rangers – Kwara United0–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Enugu Rangers clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.70 for Enugu Rangers, 0.96 for Kwara United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Enugu Rangers sit 2nd on 18 points; Kwara United are 15th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.