Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
NGANPFL · Matchday 9Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Nnamdi Azikiwe Stadium
Enugu Rangers
2nd · 18 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Bendel Insurance
3rd · 18 pts52% Enugu
21% Draw
26% Bendel
OUR PICK
Enugu Rangers to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.91
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.39
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.91X4.6523.81
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.53NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.53
GG
65%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
Enugu RangersBendel Insurance1.7Goals per game1.8
1.1Conceded per game1.5
2.00Points per game1.80
56%Win rate60%
5Goal difference3
8Form, last 5 (pts)9
Enugu Rangers form
DLWDWA Rivers United1–1
A MC Alger3–0
H MC Alger2–0
A Barau FC2–2
H Abia Warriors3–1
Bendel Insurance form
WWLWLA Kwara United1–2
H Rivers United2–1
A Sporting Lagos2–1
H Barau FC4–1
A Abia Warriors3–0
Head to head
3
Enugu
2
Draw
0
Bendel
May 2026Enugu Rangers – Bendel Insurance2–1
Dec 2025Bendel Insurance – Enugu Rangers1–1
Apr 2025Bendel Insurance – Enugu Rangers0–0
Nov 2024Enugu Rangers – Bendel Insurance3–2
Jun 2024Enugu Rangers – Bendel Insurance2–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Enugu Rangers slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.91 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.03 for Enugu Rangers, 1.39 for Bendel Insurance), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Enugu Rangers sit 2nd on 18 points; Bendel Insurance are 3rd on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.