Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
ITASerie B · Matchday 10Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Carlo Castellani
Empoli
19th · 7 pts2–2LIVE 78'
Juve Stabia
17th · 8 pts30% Empoli
30% Draw
41% Juve
OUR PICK
Juve Stabia to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.35X3.3722.47
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.55
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.73
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.73
NG
58%
Double chance@1.42
12
70%
Season stats
EmpoliJuve Stabia0.9Goals per game1.0
1.7Conceded per game1.0
0.78Points per game0.89
22%Win rate33%
-7Goal difference0
1Form, last 5 (pts)8
Empoli form
DLLDLH Juve Stabia2–2
A Cesena2–1
H Vicenza Virtus0–2
A Ascoli1–1
H Palermo2–4
Juve Stabia form
DLWWDA Empoli2–2
H Hellas Verona0–1
A Cremonese0–1
H Sudtirol3–0
A Virtus Entella1–1
Head to head
1
Empoli
1
Draw
3
Juve
Nov 2026Empoli – Juve Stabia2–2
Feb 2026Empoli – Juve Stabia1–2
Dec 2025Juve Stabia – Empoli2–0
Jan 2020Juve Stabia – Empoli1–0
Aug 2019Empoli – Juve Stabia2–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
Match preview
Our model makes Juve Stabia slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.95 for Empoli, 1.16 for Juve Stabia), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Empoli sit 19th on 7 points; Juve Stabia are 17th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.