Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NEDEerste Divisie · Matchday 13Sunday, 1 November 2026 · De Oude Meerdijk
Emmen
3rd · 25 pts0–2HALF TIME
Den Bosch
13th · 15 pts60% Emmen
20% Draw
21% Den
OUR PICK
Emmen to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.28
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.67X5.1024.85
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.54NG2.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.54
GG
65%
Double chance@1.24
12
80%
Season stats
EmmenDen Bosch2.2Goals per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game1.8
2.08Points per game1.25
67%Win rate33%
7Goal difference-3
13Form, last 5 (pts)8
Emmen form
No recent matches.
Den Bosch form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Emmen
0
Draw
0
Den
These sides haven't met recently.
Eerste Divisie table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Heracles12+2329
2VVV Venlo13+1528
3Emmen12+725
4Almere City FC13+1425
5Roda13+525
6NAC Breda12+321
7FC Volendam13+819
8Vitesse12-117
9Jong AZ13+417
10MVV13-1217
Match preview
Our model makes Emmen clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.28 for Emmen, 1.28 for Den Bosch), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Emmen sit 3rd on 25 points; Den Bosch are 13th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.