Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 12Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Nuevo Pepico Amat
Eldense
13th · 14 pts0–0LIVE 37'
Granada CF
5th · 20 pts35% Eldense
26% Draw
39% Granada
OUR PICK
Granada CF to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.56
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.40
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.83X3.8922.56
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
EldenseGranada CF1.2Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.27Points per game1.82
36%Win rate55%
-2Goal difference4
9Form, last 5 (pts)12
Eldense form
DWLWWH Granada CF0–0
A Atlético Baleares0–1
A Albacete2–0
A Valladolid2–3
H Cordoba2–1
Granada CF form
DWWWWA Eldense0–0
A Cieza0–3
H Valladolid2–1
H Cadiz2–0
A Burgos0–1
Head to head
0
Eldense
0
Draw
2
Granada
Jan 2025Eldense – Granada CF0–3
Nov 2024Granada CF – Eldense3–2
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón11+1826
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Girona12+1121
5Granada CF11+420
6Burgos11+420
7Mallorca11+719
8Sporting Gijon11-219
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Eldense 35%, the draw 26%, Granada CF 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.32 for Eldense, 1.40 for Granada CF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Eldense sit 13th on 14 points; Granada CF are 5th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.