Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 9Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat
Eldense
15th · 14 pts2–1FULL TIME
Cordoba
12th · 16 pts39% Eldense
24% Draw
36% Cordoba
OUR PICK
Eldense to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.54
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.46
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.54X4.1122.76
Goals 2.5Over1.74Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.66NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.66
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
EldenseCordoba1.1Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.8
1.17Points per game1.33
33%Win rate42%
-4Goal difference-3
9Form, last 5 (pts)10
Eldense form
LWLWWH Granada CF0–2
A Atlético Baleares0–1
A Albacete2–0
A Valladolid2–3
H Cordoba2–1
Cordoba form
DLWWLA Celta de Vigo II2–2
A Atlético Paso3–1
H Eibar2–0
A Leganes0–1
A Eldense2–1
Head to head
1
Eldense
1
Draw
1
Cordoba
Oct 2026Eldense – Cordoba2–1
Apr 2025Eldense – Cordoba1–1
Oct 2024Cordoba – Eldense2–0
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Mallorca12+822
6Sporting Gijon12022
7Girona12+1121
8Burgos12+421
9Oviedo12+218
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Eldense 39%, the draw 24%, Cordoba 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.54 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.53 for Eldense, 1.46 for Cordoba), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Eldense sit 15th on 14 points; Cordoba are 12th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.