Over 1.5 goals@2.45
Over 1.5
41%
EGYPremier League · Matchday 7Monday, 19 October 2026 · El Gouna Stadium
El Gouna FC
20th · 3 pts0–2FULL TIME
Smouha SC
9th · 11 pts33% El
38% Draw
28% Smouha
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.61
Expected goals
0.74 – 0.66
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.01X2.6123.51
Goals 2.5Over5.55Under1.20
Both scoreGG3.77NG1.34
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.20
Under 2.5
83%
Both teams to score@1.34
NG
75%
Double chance@1.40
1X
72%
Season stats
El Gouna FCSmouha SC0.6Goals per game0.6
1.4Conceded per game0.6
0.38Points per game1.38
0%Win rate38%
-6Goal difference0
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
El Gouna FC form
DLLLLA Asyut Petrol1–1
H Smouha SC0–2
A Al Ittihad2–1
A El Mokawloon2–0
H Petrojet1–2
Smouha SC form
DWWWLA Petrojet1–1
A El Gouna FC0–2
H Ghazl El Mehalla1–0
A El Geish0–1
H Ceramica Cleopatra0–2
Head to head
2
El
2
Draw
1
Smouha
Oct 2026El Gouna FC – Smouha SC0–2
Oct 2025Smouha SC – El Gouna FC0–1
Apr 2025El Gouna FC – Smouha SC1–1
Dec 2024El Gouna FC – Smouha SC1–0
Dec 2024Smouha SC – El Gouna FC0–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Pyramids FC8+1524
2Al Ahly8+920
3Zamalek SC8+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8+718
5Al Ittihad8+314
6Future FC8+213
7El Mokawloon8+311
8National Bank of Egypt8011
9Smouha SC8011
10Masr8-111
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: El Gouna FC 33%, the draw 38%, Smouha SC 28%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.4 goals in total (0.74 for El Gouna FC, 0.66 for Smouha SC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
El Gouna FC sit 20th on 3 points; Smouha SC are 9th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.