Over 1.5 goals@1.64
Over 1.5
61%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 10Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Eibar
3rd · 23 pts1–1FULL TIME
Mallorca
8th · 19 pts36% Eibar
30% Draw
34% Mallorca
OUR PICK
Eibar to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.79
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.79X3.3022.96
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.51
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
EibarMallorca1.8Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game0.5
1.92Points per game1.73
58%Win rate45%
7Goal difference7
5Form, last 5 (pts)6
Eibar form
DLDLWH Almeria1–1
A Cordoba2–0
H Mallorca1–1
A Oviedo3–1
A Albacete1–3
Mallorca form
DDDWDH Cadiz0–0
A Leganes1–1
A Eibar1–1
H Las Palmas3–1
A Girona0–0
Head to head
0
Eibar
1
Draw
3
Mallorca
Oct 2026Eibar – Mallorca1–1
Jan 2022Eibar – Mallorca1–2
Mar 2020Eibar – Mallorca1–2
Aug 2019Mallorca – Eibar2–1
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Sporting Gijon12022
6Girona12+1121
7Burgos12+421
8Mallorca11+719
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Eibar 36%, the draw 30%, Mallorca 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.05 for Eibar, 1.01 for Mallorca), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Eibar sit 3rd on 23 points; Mallorca are 8th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.