Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Eibar
3rd · 23 pts1–1FULL TIME
Almeria
2nd · 26 pts35% Eibar
26% Draw
40% Almeria
OUR PICK
Almeria to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.86X3.9122.53
Goals 2.5Over1.94Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.80NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.94
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.80
GG
56%
Double chance@1.34
12
74%
Season stats
EibarAlmeria1.8Goals per game1.9
1.2Conceded per game0.8
1.92Points per game2.17
58%Win rate67%
7Goal difference13
5Form, last 5 (pts)11
Eibar form
DLDLWH Almeria1–1
A Cordoba2–0
H Mallorca1–1
A Oviedo3–1
A Albacete1–3
Almeria form
DWDWWA Eibar1–1
A Castellonense1–2
H Oviedo2–2
A Real Sociedad II2–4
H Leganes3–0
Head to head
2
Eibar
2
Draw
1
Almeria
Oct 2026Eibar – Almeria1–1
Jan 2026Eibar – Almeria1–0
Nov 2025Almeria – Eibar3–1
Mar 2025Eibar – Almeria1–0
Sept 2024Almeria – Eibar2–2
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón11+1826
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Girona12+1121
5Granada CF11+420
6Burgos11+420
7Mallorca11+719
8Sporting Gijon11-219
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Eibar 35%, the draw 26%, Almeria 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.32 for Eibar, 1.42 for Almeria), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Eibar sit 3rd on 23 points; Almeria are 2nd on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.