Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 7Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Demrozi Stadium
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1st · 24 pts3–1FULL TIME
Vllaznia Shkodër
9th · 9 pts66% Egnatia
20% Draw
14% Vllaznia
OUR PICK
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.51
Expected goals
2.05 – 0.81
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.51X5.0027.24
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
52%
Double chance@1.16
1X
86%
Season stats
Egnatia RrogozhinëVllaznia Shkodër2.0Goals per game1.1
0.9Conceded per game1.6
2.40Points per game0.90
80%Win rate20%
11Goal difference-5
12Form, last 5 (pts)7
Egnatia Rrogozhinë form
WWLDWA Tirana1–2
H Teuta Durrës1–0
A Dinamo Tirana2–1
A Aarhus1–1
H Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
Vllaznia Shkodër form
DLWLWA Skenderbeu Korce1–1
A Vora2–1
H Tirana2–0
A Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–1
H Dinamo Tirana1–0
Head to head
2
Egnatia
2
Draw
1
Vllaznia
Oct 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
May 2026Vllaznia Shkodër – Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–2
Mar 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Vllaznia Shkodër0–0
Jan 2026Vllaznia Shkodër – Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–0
Nov 2025Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Vllaznia Shkodër2–2
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Laci10-411
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Vora9-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (2.05 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 0.81 for Vllaznia Shkodër), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st on 24 points; Vllaznia Shkodër are 9th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.