Over 1.5 goals@1.57
Over 1.5
64%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 9Thursday, 29 October 2026 · Demrozi Stadium
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1st · 21 pts1–0FULL TIME
Teuta Durrës
2nd · 20 pts29% Egnatia
29% Draw
42% Teuta
OUR PICK
Teuta Durrës to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.39
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.43X3.4422.39
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.76
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.76
NG
57%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
Egnatia RrogozhinëTeuta Durrës2.0Goals per game1.6
0.9Conceded per game0.3
2.33Points per game2.22
78%Win rate67%
10Goal difference11
12Form, last 5 (pts)10
Egnatia Rrogozhinë form
WWLDWA Tirana1–2
H Teuta Durrës1–0
A Dinamo Tirana2–1
A Aarhus1–1
H Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
Teuta Durrës form
LDWWWA Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–0
H AF Elbasani0–0
A Dinamo Tirana0–2
H Skenderbeu Korce2–0
H FK Kukesi5–0
Head to head
3
Egnatia
1
Draw
1
Teuta
Oct 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Teuta Durrës1–0
May 2026Teuta Durrës – Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–2
Mar 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Teuta Durrës4–2
Mar 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Teuta Durrës0–0
Feb 2026Teuta Durrës – Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–2
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë9+1021
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4Tirana9012
5Laci9-311
6AF Elbasani9011
7Vora9-411
8Skenderbeu Korce9-110
9Vllaznia Shkodër9-58
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes Teuta Durrës slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.96 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 1.21 for Teuta Durrës), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st on 21 points; Teuta Durrës are 2nd on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.