Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
WORUEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Arena Kombetare
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
20th · 2 pts1–1FULL TIME
FC Midtjylland
25th · 1 pts48% Egnatia
27% Draw
26% FC
OUR PICK
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.10
Expected goals
1.45 – 0.99
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.10X3.7723.88
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.79
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.79
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.35
1X
74%
Season stats
Egnatia RrogozhinëFC Midtjylland1.0Goals per game0.5
1.0Conceded per game1.0
1.00Points per game0.50
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference-1
2Form, last 5 (pts)1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë form
WWLDWA Tirana1–2
H Teuta Durrës1–0
A Dinamo Tirana2–1
A Aarhus1–1
H Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
FC Midtjylland form
WWWLWA FC Nordsjaelland2–3
H Odense2–1
H Lyngby3–2
H St. Truiden0–1
A Viborg1–2
Head to head
0
Egnatia
1
Draw
0
FC
Oct 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – FC Midtjylland1–1
UEFA Europa Conference League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2+56
2FC Lugano2+46
3Brann2+46
4Trabzonspor2+46
5Twente2+46
6Monaco2+46
7St. Truiden2+36
8HNK Hajduk Split2+26
9Brighton2+44
10FC Copenhagen2+34
Match preview
Our model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.45 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 0.99 for FC Midtjylland), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 20th on 2 points; FC Midtjylland are 25th on 1.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.