Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 25Sunday, 11 October 2026 · XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena
Egersund
8th · 38 pts3–1FULL TIME
hodd
9th · 38 pts45% Egersund
22% Draw
33% hodd
OUR PICK
Egersund to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.22
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.62
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.22X4.5623.03
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.46NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.46
GG
68%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Egersundhodd1.7Goals per game1.7
2.0Conceded per game2.0
1.31Points per game1.31
34%Win rate38%
-9Goal difference-10
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Egersund form
WWDDDH Strommen3–1
H Bryne1–0
A Bryne3–3
H Sogndal3–3
A Moss0–0
hodd form
LLLWDH Bryne0–3
A Asane3–0
A Haugesund3–2
H Raufoss5–1
H Ranheim1–1
Head to head
2
Egersund
1
Draw
2
hodd
Oct 2026Egersund – hodd3–1
May 2026hodd – Egersund3–1
Nov 2025Egersund – hodd0–0
Jul 2025hodd – Egersund1–0
Oct 2019hodd – Egersund0–2
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Egersund slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.92 for Egersund, 1.62 for hodd), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Egersund sit 8th on 38 points; hodd are 9th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.