Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
72%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 6Friday, 23 October 2026
East Riffa
6th · 8 pts0–1FULL TIME
Muharraq
4th · 11 pts27% East
26% Draw
47% Muharraq
OUR PICK
Muharraq to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.15
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.48
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.65X3.8422.15
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.88
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
East RiffaMuharraq0.7Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.0
1.14Points per game1.57
29%Win rate43%
-5Goal difference4
7Form, last 5 (pts)10
East Riffa form
DLLWWA Al Ahli0–0
H Muharraq0–1
A Al Riffa4–0
H A'Ali2–1
A Al Najma2–3
Muharraq form
WLWWWH Sitra4–0
A Al-Jazira4–2
A East Riffa0–1
H Malkiya3–0
H Gol Gohar2–0
Head to head
0
East
3
Draw
2
Muharraq
Oct 2026East Riffa – Muharraq0–1
May 2025Muharraq – East Riffa1–1
Feb 2025East Riffa – Muharraq0–3
May 2024Muharraq – East Riffa2–2
Dec 2023East Riffa – Muharraq2–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Muharraq7+411
5Al Ahli709
6East Riffa7-58
7Sitra7-28
8Al Najma7-48
9A'Ali7-38
10Al-Hidd707
Match preview
Our model makes Muharraq slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.15 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.07 for East Riffa, 1.48 for Muharraq), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
East Riffa sit 6th on 8 points; Muharraq are 4th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.