Over 1.5 goals@1.81
Over 1.5
55%
BHRPremier League · Matchday 4Sunday, 11 October 2026
East Riffa
6th · 8 pts2–1FULL TIME
A'Ali
9th · 8 pts30% East
32% Draw
37% A'Ali
OUR PICK
A'Ali to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.67
Expected goals
0.86 – 0.99
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.29X3.1022.67
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.39
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.57
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.57
NG
64%
Double chance@1.44
X2
70%
Season stats
East RiffaA'Ali0.7Goals per game0.9
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.14Points per game1.14
29%Win rate29%
-5Goal difference-3
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
East Riffa form
DLLWWA Al Ahli0–0
H Muharraq0–1
A Al Riffa4–0
H A'Ali2–1
A Al Najma2–3
A'Ali form
DWLLWH Al-Hidd0–0
A Al Najma1–2
H Sitra0–2
A East Riffa2–1
H Malkiya1–0
Head to head
2
East
2
Draw
1
A'Ali
Oct 2026East Riffa – A'Ali2–1
May 2025A'Ali – East Riffa1–0
Jan 2025East Riffa – A'Ali2–0
Jan 2025East Riffa – A'Ali1–1
May 2023East Riffa – A'Ali1–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Al Riffa7+1115
2Khalidiya7+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7+514
4Muharraq7+411
5Al Ahli709
6East Riffa7-58
7Sitra7-28
8Al Najma7-48
9A'Ali7-38
10Al-Hidd707
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: East Riffa 30%, the draw 32%, A'Ali 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.86 for East Riffa, 0.99 for A'Ali), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
East Riffa sit 6th on 8 points; A'Ali are 9th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.