Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 10Friday, 23 October 2026 · Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho
Dynamo Kyiv
3rd · 22 pts3–1FULL TIME
Kudrivka
16th · 5 pts79% Dynamo
13% Draw
8% Kudrivka
OUR PICK
Dynamo Kyiv to win
Model probability 79% · fair odds
1.26
Expected goals
2.80 – 0.77
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.26X7.60213.11
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.98NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.98
GG
50%
Double chance@1.08
1X
92%
Season stats
Dynamo KyivKudrivka1.6Goals per game1.0
0.9Conceded per game2.6
2.20Points per game0.45
70%Win rate9%
7Goal difference-18
12Form, last 5 (pts)3
Dynamo Kyiv form
WLWLWA Kryvbas KR0–2
A Shakhtar Donetsk3–0
H Kudrivka3–1
A Polessya3–1
H Karpaty1–0
Kudrivka form
LWLLLA Dynamo Kyiv3–1
H Bukovyna4–1
A LNZ Cherkasy2–1
A Veres Rivne2–1
H Kolos Kovalivka2–3
Head to head
4
Dynamo
0
Draw
0
Kudrivka
Oct 2026Dynamo Kyiv – Kudrivka3–1
May 2026Dynamo Kyiv – Kudrivka3–2
Feb 2026Dynamo Kyiv – Kudrivka2–1
Dec 2025Kudrivka – Dynamo Kyiv1–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model makes Dynamo Kyiv clear favourites, giving them a 79% chance of winning against 13% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.80 for Dynamo Kyiv, 0.77 for Kudrivka), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd on 22 points; Kudrivka are 16th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.