Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho
Dynamo Kyiv
3rd · 22 pts1–0FULL TIME
Karpaty
5th · 19 pts30% Dynamo
25% Draw
45% Karpaty
OUR PICK
Karpaty to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.51
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.34X3.9322.24
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.84NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.84
GG
54%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Dynamo KyivKarpaty1.6Goals per game2.0
0.9Conceded per game0.7
2.20Points per game1.73
70%Win rate45%
7Goal difference14
12Form, last 5 (pts)6
Dynamo Kyiv form
WLWLWA Kryvbas KR0–2
A Shakhtar Donetsk3–0
H Kudrivka3–1
A Polessya3–1
H Karpaty1–0
Karpaty form
WDDLWH Oleksandria2–1
A Chornomorets0–0
H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2
A Dynamo Kyiv1–0
A KV Mechelen2–3
Head to head
3
Dynamo
1
Draw
1
Karpaty
Oct 2026Dynamo Kyiv – Karpaty1–0
Apr 2026Dynamo Kyiv – Karpaty0–1
Sept 2025Karpaty – Dynamo Kyiv3–3
Feb 2025Dynamo Kyiv – Karpaty2–0
Aug 2024Karpaty – Dynamo Kyiv1–3
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model makes Karpaty slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.19 for Dynamo Kyiv, 1.51 for Karpaty), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd on 22 points; Karpaty are 5th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.