Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
56%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 8Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Chatsworth Stadium
Durban City
13th · 7 pts1–2FULL TIME
Amazulu
3rd · 22 pts24% Durban
31% Draw
45% Amazulu
OUR PICK
Amazulu to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.23
Expected goals
0.75 – 1.14
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.15X3.2222.23
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.56
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.56
NG
64%
Double chance@1.32
X2
76%
Season stats
Durban CityAmazulu0.7Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game0.9
0.78Points per game2.44
11%Win rate78%
-5Goal difference5
2Form, last 5 (pts)15
Durban City form
LLWWLA Mamelodi Sundowns4–1
H Stellenbosch0–2
A ASPL 20000–3
H ASPL 20003–1
H Amazulu1–2
Amazulu form
WWWWWH Golden Arrows1–0
A Kruger United0–1
A Durban City1–2
A Polokwane City0–1
H Marumo Gallants1–0
Head to head
0
Durban
0
Draw
3
Amazulu
Oct 2026Durban City – Amazulu1–2
May 2026Durban City – Amazulu0–1
Oct 2025Amazulu – Durban City1–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Amazulu slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.75 for Durban City, 1.14 for Amazulu), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Durban City sit 13th on 7 points; Amazulu are 3rd on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.