Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 12Friday, 6 November 2026 · Stade Marcel Tribut
Dunkerque
12th · 12 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
Guingamp
9th · 14 pts39% Dunkerque
25% Draw
36% Guingamp
OUR PICK
Dunkerque to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.58
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.58X4.0322.74
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
58%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
DunkerqueGuingamp1.3Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.4
1.09Points per game1.27
27%Win rate36%
-3Goal difference1
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
Dunkerque form
LDWLLA Rodez1–0
H Metz1–1
A Nantes2–3
H Annecy0–1
H RAAL La Louvière0–4
Guingamp form
WWLLWH Saint Etienne3–0
A Clermont Foot0–2
H PAU1–2
A Nancy1–0
H Le Mans2–1
Head to head
2
Dunkerque
2
Draw
1
Guingamp
Feb 2026Dunkerque – Guingamp0–0
Sept 2025Guingamp – Dunkerque2–1
May 2025Dunkerque – Guingamp1–0
Apr 2025Dunkerque – Guingamp3–1
Jan 2025Guingamp – Dunkerque1–1
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Dunkerque 39%, the draw 25%, Guingamp 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.47 for Dunkerque, 1.42 for Guingamp), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dunkerque sit 12th on 12 points; Guingamp are 9th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.