Over 1.5 goals@2.39
Over 1.5
42%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 8Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · East End Park
Dunfermline
3rd · 24 pts1–1FULL TIME
Partick
1st · 25 pts34% Dunfermline
38% Draw
28% Partick
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.65
Expected goals
0.76 – 0.67
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.96X2.6523.52
Goals 2.5Over5.55Under1.21
Both scoreGG3.63NG1.35
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.21
Under 2.5
83%
Both teams to score@1.35
NG
74%
Double chance@1.40
1X
72%
Season stats
DunfermlinePartick1.2Goals per game1.3
0.5Conceded per game0.5
1.85Points per game1.92
46%Win rate54%
8Goal difference10
11Form, last 5 (pts)10
Dunfermline form
WWWDDH Inverness CT5–1
A Stenhousemuir0–1
A Queen's Park0–1
H Partick1–1
H Livingston0–0
Partick form
LWDWWH Morton2–3
H Stenhousemuir3–0
A Dunfermline1–1
A Ayr Utd0–1
A Livingston1–2
Head to head
0
Dunfermline
3
Draw
2
Partick
Oct 2026Dunfermline – Partick1–1
May 2026Partick – Dunfermline2–1
May 2026Dunfermline – Partick1–1
Apr 2026Partick – Dunfermline2–0
Feb 2026Dunfermline – Partick2–2
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Dunfermline 34%, the draw 38%, Partick 28%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.4 goals in total (0.76 for Dunfermline, 0.67 for Partick), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dunfermline sit 3rd on 24 points; Partick are 1st on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.