Over 1.5 goals@1.62
Over 1.5
62%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · East End Park
Dunfermline
3rd · 24 pts5–1FULL TIME
Inverness CT
6th · 19 pts54% Dunfermline
28% Draw
18% Inverness
OUR PICK
Dunfermline to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.85
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.69
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.85X3.6325.43
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.60
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.60
NG
62%
Double chance@1.23
1X
82%
Season stats
DunfermlineInverness CT1.2Goals per game1.3
0.5Conceded per game1.2
1.85Points per game1.46
46%Win rate38%
8Goal difference1
11Form, last 5 (pts)9
Dunfermline form
No recent matches.
Inverness CT form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Dunfermline
0
Draw
0
Inverness
These sides haven't met recently.
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Dunfermline clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.85 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.40 for Dunfermline, 0.69 for Inverness CT), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dunfermline sit 3rd on 24 points; Inverness CT are 6th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.