Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 8Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Tannadice Park
Dundee Utd
6th · 16 pts1–0FULL TIME
Hibernian
12th · 8 pts53% Dundee
23% Draw
24% Hibernian
OUR PICK
Dundee Utd to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.90
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.16
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.90X4.3324.11
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
57%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Dundee UtdHibernian1.5Goals per game1.0
1.5Conceded per game1.5
1.45Points per game0.73
36%Win rate18%
0Goal difference-6
11Form, last 5 (pts)2
Dundee Utd form
DWDWA Celtic2–2
H Aberdeen3–2
A ST Johnstone1–1
H Hibernian1–0
Hibernian form
WDLLLA Heart Of Midlothian1–2
A ST Mirren1–1
H Celtic1–2
H Falkirk1–2
A Dundee Utd1–0
Head to head
1
Dundee
2
Draw
2
Hibernian
Oct 2026Dundee Utd – Hibernian1–0
Feb 2026Hibernian – Dundee Utd3–2
Dec 2025Dundee Utd – Hibernian1–1
Sept 2025Hibernian – Dundee Utd3–3
May 2025Hibernian – Dundee Utd3–1
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Dundee Utd slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.81 for Dundee Utd, 1.16 for Hibernian), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dundee Utd sit 6th on 16 points; Hibernian are 12th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.