Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 10Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Tannadice Park
Dundee Utd
6th · 16 pts3–2FULL TIME
Aberdeen
10th · 11 pts43% Dundee
28% Draw
29% Aberdeen
OUR PICK
Dundee Utd to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.35
Expected goals
1.26 – 0.99
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.35X3.5223.44
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.64
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.82
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.82
NG
55%
Double chance@1.40
12
72%
Season stats
Dundee UtdAberdeen1.5Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.3
1.45Points per game1.00
36%Win rate27%
0Goal difference-2
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
Dundee Utd form
DWDWA Celtic2–2
H Aberdeen3–2
A ST Johnstone1–1
H Hibernian1–0
Aberdeen form
LLLWLA Rangers1–0
H Falkirk0–1
A Dundee Utd3–2
H ST Mirren3–1
H ST Johnstone0–1
Head to head
2
Dundee
2
Draw
1
Aberdeen
Oct 2026Dundee Utd – Aberdeen3–2
May 2026Aberdeen – Dundee Utd2–0
Feb 2026Dundee Utd – Aberdeen0–0
Dec 2025Aberdeen – Dundee Utd1–1
Sept 2025Dundee Utd – Aberdeen2–0
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Dundee Utd slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.35 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.26 for Dundee Utd, 0.99 for Aberdeen), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dundee Utd sit 6th on 16 points; Aberdeen are 10th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.