Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
BULFirst League · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Gradski Stadium
Dunav Ruse
9th · 11 pts0–1FULL TIME
Levski Sofia
1st · 32 pts11% Dunav
19% Draw
70% Levski
OUR PICK
Levski Sofia to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
0.65 – 2.03
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X219.23X5.1621.43
Goals 2.5Over2.00Under1.89
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@2.00
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
58%
Double chance@1.12
X2
89%
Season stats
Dunav RuseLevski Sofia1.2Goals per game2.1
1.7Conceded per game0.4
0.85Points per game2.67
23%Win rate83%
-7Goal difference20
7Form, last 5 (pts)11
Dunav Ruse form
No recent matches.
Levski Sofia form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Dunav
0
Draw
0
Levski
These sides haven't met recently.
First League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Levski Sofia12+2032
2CSKA Sofia13+2031
3Ludogorets12+1529
4CSKA 194813+1728
5Botev Plovdiv13+222
6Arda Kardzhali12-218
7Slavia Sofia13013
8Spartak Varna13-1113
9Dunav Ruse13-711
10Botev Vratsa12-1110
Match preview
Our model makes Levski Sofia clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (0.65 for Dunav Ruse, 2.03 for Levski Sofia), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dunav Ruse sit 9th on 11 points; Levski Sofia are 1st on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.