Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 12Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Keepmoat Stadium
Doncaster
20th · 12 pts0–2FULL TIME
Stockport County
2nd · 26 pts24% Doncaster
23% Draw
52% Stockport
OUR PICK
Stockport County to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.91
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.77
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.12X4.2721.91
Goals 2.5Over1.81Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
DoncasterStockport County1.1Goals per game1.9
1.7Conceded per game1.0
0.92Points per game1.86
23%Win rate57%
-8Goal difference12
3Form, last 5 (pts)10
Doncaster form
LLWLLA Milton Keynes Dons6–1
A Luton3–1
H Sheffield Wednesday2–0
H Stockport County0–2
A Leicester2–1
Stockport County form
WLDWWH AFC Wimbledon2–1
A Oxford United1–0
A Notts County1–1
A Doncaster0–2
H Bromley1–0
Head to head
0
Doncaster
1
Draw
4
Stockport
Oct 2026Doncaster – Stockport County0–2
Aug 2026Stockport County – Doncaster1–1
Mar 2026Doncaster – Stockport County0–1
Dec 2025Stockport County – Doncaster4–2
Dec 2025Doncaster – Stockport County0–2
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Stockport County slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.91 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.13 for Doncaster, 1.77 for Stockport County), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Doncaster sit 20th on 12 points; Stockport County are 2nd on 26.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.