Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Keepmoat Stadium
Doncaster
20th · 12 pts2–0FULL TIME
Sheffield Wednesday
9th · 20 pts19% Doncaster
22% Draw
59% Sheffield
OUR PICK
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.89
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.27X4.5121.70
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.23
X2
81%
Season stats
DoncasterSheffield Wednesday1.1Goals per game1.7
1.7Conceded per game1.1
0.92Points per game1.54
23%Win rate38%
-8Goal difference8
3Form, last 5 (pts)5
Doncaster form
LLWLLA Milton Keynes Dons6–1
A Luton3–1
H Sheffield Wednesday2–0
H Stockport County0–2
A Leicester2–1
Sheffield Wednesday form
DDLLWH Blackpool1–1
H Cambridge United1–1
A Doncaster2–0
A Notts County2–0
H AFC Wimbledon5–0
Head to head
3
Doncaster
0
Draw
2
Sheffield
Oct 2026Doncaster – Sheffield Wednesday2–0
Jul 2023Doncaster – Sheffield Wednesday1–0
Feb 2022Doncaster – Sheffield Wednesday1–3
Aug 2021Sheffield Wednesday – Doncaster2–0
Mar 2014Doncaster – Sheffield Wednesday1–0
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Sheffield Wednesday clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (0.97 for Doncaster, 1.89 for Sheffield Wednesday), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Doncaster sit 20th on 12 points; Sheffield Wednesday are 9th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.