Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
NGANPFL · Matchday 9Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Pantami Stadium
Doma United
12th · 15 pts1–1FULL TIME
Kun Khalifat FC
16th · 12 pts57% Doma
24% Draw
19% Kun
OUR PICK
Doma United to win
Model probability 57% · fair odds
1.75
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.88
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.75X4.2225.25
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.92
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.92
NG
52%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Doma UnitedKun Khalifat FC1.3Goals per game0.8
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.50Points per game1.09
40%Win rate27%
0Goal difference-7
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Doma United form
DDLWLH Ikorodu City2–2
H Kun Khalifat FC1–1
A Nasarawa United2–0
H Warri Wolves1–0
A Katsina United2–1
Kun Khalifat FC form
LWDWLA Enyimba1–0
H Inter Lagos1–0
A Doma United1–1
H Shooting Stars2–0
A Niger Tornadoes1–0
Head to head
0
Doma
1
Draw
0
Kun
Oct 2026Doma United – Kun Khalifat FC1–1
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model makes Doma United clear favourites, giving them a 57% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.75 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.72 for Doma United, 0.88 for Kun Khalifat FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Doma United sit 12th on 15 points; Kun Khalifat FC are 16th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.