Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
NGANPFL · Matchday 11Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Pantami Stadium
Doma United
10th · 15 pts2–2FULL TIME
Ikorodu City
11th · 14 pts39% Doma
27% Draw
33% Ikorodu
OUR PICK
Doma United to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.53X3.6723.01
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Doma UnitedIkorodu City1.3Goals per game1.4
1.3Conceded per game1.2
1.50Points per game1.27
40%Win rate27%
0Goal difference2
5Form, last 5 (pts)5
Doma United form
No recent matches.
Ikorodu City form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Doma
0
Draw
0
Ikorodu
These sides haven't met recently.
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United10+1017
2Enugu Rangers8+517
3Nasarawa United10+317
4Barau FC11+316
5Niger Tornadoes11+116
6Plateau United10+415
7Bendel Insurance9+215
8Sporting Lagos9+215
9Kano Pillars10+115
10Doma United10015
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Doma United 39%, the draw 27%, Ikorodu City 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.29 for Doma United, 1.16 for Ikorodu City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Doma United sit 10th on 15 points; Ikorodu City are 11th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.