Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 25Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 3Arena
Djurgardens IF
3rd · 52 pts2–2FULL TIME
Orgryte IS
15th · 19 pts85% Djurgardens
10% Draw
5% Orgryte
OUR PICK
Djurgardens IF to win
Model probability 85% · fair odds
1.18
Expected goals
3.25 – 0.73
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.18X10.08219.45
Goals 2.5Over1.33Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.99
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.99
NG
50%
Double chance@1.05
1X
95%
Season stats
Djurgardens IFOrgryte IS2.0Goals per game1.2
0.9Conceded per game2.2
1.93Points per game0.70
59%Win rate15%
30Goal difference-27
11Form, last 5 (pts)4
Djurgardens IF form
WDDWWH Degerfors IF2–1
A IFK Goteborg1–1
H Orgryte IS2–2
A IF Brommapojkarna0–2
A Hammarby FF0–1
Orgryte IS form
LLDWLA IF Elfsborg2–1
H Mjallby AIF1–2
A Djurgardens IF2–2
H Gais4–2
A BK Hacken3–0
Head to head
0
Djurgardens
2
Draw
0
Orgryte
Oct 2026Djurgardens IF – Orgryte IS2–2
Jul 2026Orgryte IS – Djurgardens IF0–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm27-438
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais27+737
Match preview
Our model makes Djurgardens IF clear favourites, giving them a 85% chance of winning against 10% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (3.25 for Djurgardens IF, 0.73 for Orgryte IS), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Djurgardens IF sit 3rd on 52 points; Orgryte IS are 15th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.