Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 27Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 3Arena
Djurgardens IF
3rd · 49 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Degerfors IF
14th · 20 pts80% Djurgardens
14% Draw
6% Degerfors
OUR PICK
Djurgardens IF to win
Model probability 80% · fair odds
1.25
Expected goals
2.52 – 0.55
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.25X7.28216.39
Goals 2.5Over1.69Under2.30
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.06
1X
94%
Season stats
Djurgardens IFDegerfors IF2.0Goals per game0.8
0.9Conceded per game1.7
1.88Points per game0.77
58%Win rate19%
29Goal difference-23
8Form, last 5 (pts)1
Djurgardens IF form
DDWWWA IFK Goteborg1–1
H Orgryte IS2–2
A IF Brommapojkarna0–2
A Hammarby FF0–1
A VfL Osnabrück0–1
Degerfors IF form
LLLDDH Vasteras SK FK0–3
A BK Hacken4–0
H Kalmar FF1–2
A Mjallby AIF1–1
A IK brage1–1
Head to head
4
Djurgardens
1
Draw
0
Degerfors
Jul 2026Degerfors IF – Djurgardens IF0–1
Mar 2026Djurgardens IF – Degerfors IF2–1
Oct 2025Degerfors IF – Djurgardens IF1–1
Jul 2025Djurgardens IF – Degerfors IF5–1
Mar 2024Djurgardens IF – Degerfors IF3–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sirius26+2255
2Hammarby FF26+3352
3Djurgardens IF26+2949
4BK Hacken26+1746
5IF Elfsborg26+1343
6Vasteras SK FK26+141
7Malmo FF26+740
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg26-938
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Djurgardens IF clear favourites, giving them a 80% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.52 for Djurgardens IF, 0.55 for Degerfors IF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Djurgardens IF sit 3rd on 49 points; Degerfors IF are 14th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.