WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Stadion Maksimir

Dinamo Zagreb

18th · 4 pts

1–0FULL TIME

Anderlecht

22nd · 3 pts

31% Dinamo

24% Draw

45% Anderlecht

OUR PICK

Anderlecht to win

Model probability 45% · fair odds

2.22

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.66

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X213.22X4.1722.22

Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25

Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.25

Over 1.5

80%

Over/Under 2.5@1.73

Over 2.5

58%

Both teams to score@1.67

60%

Double chance@1.32

76%

Season stats

Dinamo ZagrebAnderlecht

1.0Goals per game1.3

1.3Conceded per game1.0

1.33Points per game1.00

33%Win rate33%

-1Goal difference1

4Form, last 5 (pts)3

Dinamo Zagreb form

LWLWW

A Rudes1–0

H HNK Rijeka2–1

H NEC Nijmegen2–4

A NK Slaven Belupo1–5

H Anderlecht1–0

Anderlecht form

WLWLL

H KVC Westerlo4–1

A Gent4–0

A Jagiellonia0–3

A Beerschot VA2–1

A Dinamo Zagreb1–0

Head to head

Dinamo

Draw

Anderlecht

Oct 2026Dinamo Zagreb – Anderlecht1–0

Dec 2018Dinamo Zagreb – Anderlecht0–0

Oct 2018Anderlecht – Dinamo Zagreb0–2

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Benfica3+89

2Bayer Leverkusen3+89

3Bournemouth3+79

4Ferencvarosi TC3+69

5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39

6Union St. Gilloise3+77

7Juventus3+67

8Beşiktaş3+47

9Sunderland3+27

10AZ Alkmaar3+46

Match preview

Our model makes Anderlecht slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.22 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.34 for Dinamo Zagreb, 1.66 for Anderlecht), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Dinamo Zagreb sit 18th on 4 points; Anderlecht are 22nd on 3.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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