Over 1.5 goals@1.71
Over 1.5
59%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 7Friday, 16 October 2026 · Elbasan Arena
Dinamo Tirana
3rd · 16 pts0–2FULL TIME
Teuta Durrës
2nd · 20 pts30% Dinamo
31% Draw
40% Teuta
OUR PICK
Teuta Durrës to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.08
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.39X3.2322.53
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.46
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.42
X2
70%
Season stats
Dinamo TiranaTeuta Durrës1.4Goals per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game0.3
1.78Points per game2.22
56%Win rate67%
3Goal difference11
7Form, last 5 (pts)10
Dinamo Tirana form
DWLLWA Tirana1–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1
H Teuta Durrës0–2
A Vllaznia Shkodër1–0
H Otrant-Olympic4–1
Teuta Durrës form
LDWWWA Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–0
H AF Elbasani0–0
A Dinamo Tirana0–2
H Skenderbeu Korce2–0
H FK Kukesi5–0
Head to head
0
Dinamo
2
Draw
3
Teuta
Oct 2026Dinamo Tirana – Teuta Durrës0–2
Mar 2026Dinamo Tirana – Teuta Durrës0–1
Jan 2026Teuta Durrës – Dinamo Tirana0–0
Nov 2025Dinamo Tirana – Teuta Durrës0–0
Sept 2025Teuta Durrës – Dinamo Tirana1–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4Tirana10-112
5Laci9-311
6AF Elbasani9011
7Vora9-411
8Skenderbeu Korce9-110
9Vllaznia Shkodër9-58
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes Teuta Durrës slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.89 for Dinamo Tirana, 1.08 for Teuta Durrës), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dinamo Tirana sit 3rd on 16 points; Teuta Durrës are 2nd on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.