Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
69%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Elbasan Arena
Dinamo Tirana
3rd · 16 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Skenderbeu Korce
7th · 11 pts50% Dinamo
26% Draw
24% Skenderbeu
OUR PICK
Dinamo Tirana to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.93
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.00X3.8024.22
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%
Season stats
Dinamo TiranaSkenderbeu Korce1.4Goals per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game1.2
1.78Points per game1.10
56%Win rate20%
3Goal difference-1
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Dinamo Tirana form
DWLLWA Tirana1–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1
H Teuta Durrës0–2
A Vllaznia Shkodër1–0
H Otrant-Olympic4–1
Skenderbeu Korce form
DDWWLH Vllaznia Shkodër1–1
H Laci1–1
A Partizani0–2
H AF Elbasani2–1
A Teuta Durrës2–0
Head to head
2
Dinamo
1
Draw
2
Skenderbeu
Aug 2026Skenderbeu Korce – Dinamo Tirana0–1
Mar 2025Skenderbeu Korce – Dinamo Tirana4–1
Feb 2025Skenderbeu Korce – Dinamo Tirana0–4
Feb 2025Dinamo Tirana – Skenderbeu Korce0–2
Feb 2025Dinamo Tirana – Skenderbeu Korce1–1
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Laci10-411
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Vora9-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes Dinamo Tirana slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.48 for Dinamo Tirana, 0.93 for Skenderbeu Korce), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dinamo Tirana sit 3rd on 16 points; Skenderbeu Korce are 7th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.