Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Elbasan Arena
Dinamo Tirana
3rd · 16 pts2–1FULL TIME
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1st · 21 pts27% Dinamo
26% Draw
47% Egnatia
OUR PICK
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.13
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.50
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.66X3.8722.13
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.95NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.95
GG
51%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Dinamo TiranaEgnatia Rrogozhinë1.4Goals per game2.0
1.1Conceded per game0.9
1.78Points per game2.33
56%Win rate78%
3Goal difference10
7Form, last 5 (pts)12
Dinamo Tirana form
DWLLWA Tirana1–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1
H Teuta Durrës0–2
A Vllaznia Shkodër1–0
H Otrant-Olympic4–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë form
WWLDWA Tirana1–2
H Teuta Durrës1–0
A Dinamo Tirana2–1
A Aarhus1–1
H Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
Head to head
3
Dinamo
0
Draw
2
Egnatia
Oct 2026Dinamo Tirana – Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1
May 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Dinamo Tirana2–0
May 2026Dinamo Tirana – Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–2
May 2026Dinamo Tirana – Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–0
Feb 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Dinamo Tirana1–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë9+1021
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4Tirana9012
5Laci9-311
6AF Elbasani9011
7Vora9-411
8Skenderbeu Korce9-110
9Vllaznia Shkodër9-58
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.13 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.08 for Dinamo Tirana, 1.50 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dinamo Tirana sit 3rd on 16 points; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.