Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
93%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 10Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Stade Gaston-Gérard
Dijon
8th · 15 pts1–2FULL TIME
Rodez
11th · 13 pts62% Dijon
17% Draw
20% Rodez
OUR PICK
Dijon to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.60
Expected goals
2.74 – 1.55
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.60X5.7724.94
Goals 2.5Over1.25Under4.72
Both scoreGG1.36NG3.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Over 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.36
GG
74%
Double chance@1.21
12
83%
Season stats
DijonRodez1.8Goals per game1.5
1.7Conceded per game2.0
1.36Points per game1.18
36%Win rate36%
1Goal difference-5
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Dijon form
WLLWDA Grenoble1–3
H Rodez1–2
A Reims4–2
H Metz4–2
H Estac Troyes2–2
Rodez form
WWLLWH Dunkerque1–0
A Dijon1–2
H Montpellier0–3
A Saint Etienne2–0
H Inter Club d'Escaldes2–0
Head to head
0
Dijon
0
Draw
0
Rodez
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Dijon clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (2.74 for Dijon, 1.55 for Rodez), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dijon sit 8th on 15 points; Rodez are 11th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.