Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 12Friday, 6 November 2026
Dijon
8th · 15 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
RED Star FC 93
6th · 17 pts46% Dijon
23% Draw
31% RED
OUR PICK
Dijon to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.19
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.42
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.19X4.3223.21
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.59NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.59
GG
63%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
DijonRED Star FC 931.8Goals per game1.3
1.7Conceded per game1.2
1.36Points per game1.70
36%Win rate50%
1Goal difference1
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Dijon form
WLLWDA Grenoble1–3
H Rodez1–2
A Reims4–2
H Metz4–2
H Estac Troyes2–2
RED Star FC 93 form
LLWWWA Montpellier2–1
H Saint Etienne0–1
A Clermont Foot2–3
A Guingamp1–3
H Metz1–0
Head to head
2
Dijon
1
Draw
1
RED
Apr 2024RED Star FC 93 – Dijon0–2
Nov 2023Dijon – RED Star FC 933–1
May 2016RED Star FC 93 – Dijon3–2
Dec 2015Dijon – RED Star FC 930–0
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Dijon slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.76 for Dijon, 1.42 for RED Star FC 93), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Dijon sit 8th on 15 points; RED Star FC 93 are 6th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.