Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
MARBotola Pro · Matchday 6Friday, 30 October 2026 · Stade El Abdi
Difaa EL Jadida
7th · 8 pts1–1FULL TIME
UTS Rabat
6th · 8 pts44% Difaa
25% Draw
30% UTS
OUR PICK
Difaa EL Jadida to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.25X3.9523.30
Goals 2.5Over1.95Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.95
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Difaa EL JadidaUTS Rabat2.2Goals per game0.7
2.2Conceded per game0.7
1.33Points per game1.33
33%Win rate33%
0Goal difference0
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Difaa EL Jadida form
DDWWLH UTS Rabat1–1
A Kawkab Marrakech1–1
H Moghreb Tetouan4–1
A Amal Tiznit2–5
H Wydad AC0–2
UTS Rabat form
DLLDWA Difaa EL Jadida1–1
H Wydad AC0–1
A CODM Meknès1–0
H Renaissance Berkane0–0
A Widad Témara0–1
Head to head
3
Difaa
2
Draw
0
UTS
Oct 2026Difaa EL Jadida – UTS Rabat1–1
Jun 2026UTS Rabat – Difaa EL Jadida1–2
Feb 2026Difaa EL Jadida – UTS Rabat1–0
Feb 2025Difaa EL Jadida – UTS Rabat1–0
Oct 2024UTS Rabat – Difaa EL Jadida2–2
Botola Pro table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech6+313
2Wydad AC6+211
3CODM Meknès5+510
4Hassania Agadir6+28
5Maghreb Fès5+18
6UTS Rabat608
7Difaa EL Jadida608
8FUS Rabat608
9FAR Rabat3+37
10Ittihad Tanger507
Match preview
Our model makes Difaa EL Jadida slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.52 for Difaa EL Jadida, 1.21 for UTS Rabat), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Difaa EL Jadida sit 7th on 8 points; UTS Rabat are 6th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.