Over 1.5 goals@1.81
Over 1.5
55%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 10 October 2026 · Keyworth Stadium
Detroit City
3rd · 51 pts1–0FULL TIME
Rhode Island
7th · 42 pts43% Detroit
32% Draw
25% Rhode
OUR PICK
Detroit City to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.32
Expected goals
1.09 – 0.76
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.32X3.1523.96
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.39
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.39
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.55
NG
65%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
Detroit CityRhode Island1.1Goals per game1.4
0.7Conceded per game1.1
1.70Points per game1.40
47%Win rate40%
13Goal difference9
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Detroit City form
LDLWWH Hartford Athletic1–2
A Louisville City0–0
A Tampa Bay Rowdies1–0
H Rhode Island1–0
H Birmingham Legion1–0
Rhode Island form
DLDWLA Charleston Battery1–1
A Hartford Athletic2–1
H Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–1
H Loudoun United1–0
A Detroit City1–0
Head to head
2
Detroit
2
Draw
1
Rhode
Oct 2026Detroit City – Rhode Island1–0
Apr 2026Rhode Island – Detroit City0–0
Aug 2025Rhode Island – Detroit City1–0
Apr 2025Detroit City – Rhode Island2–0
Aug 2024Detroit City – Rhode Island1–1
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Detroit City slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.32 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.09 for Detroit City, 0.76 for Rhode Island), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Detroit City sit 3rd on 51 points; Rhode Island are 7th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.