Over 1.5 goals@2.02
Over 1.5
49%
USAUSL Championship · Round of 16Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Keyworth Stadium
Detroit City
3rd · 51 pts1–2FULL TIME
Hartford Athletic
6th · 43 pts48% Detroit
33% Draw
19% Hartford
OUR PICK
Detroit City to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
1.09 – 0.57
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.08X3.0525.22
Goals 2.5Over4.10Under1.30
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.41
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.30
Under 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.41
NG
71%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Detroit CityHartford Athletic1.1Goals per game1.2
0.7Conceded per game1.1
1.70Points per game1.43
47%Win rate33%
13Goal difference2
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Detroit City form
No recent matches.
Hartford Athletic form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Detroit
0
Draw
0
Hartford
These sides haven't met recently.
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Detroit City slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (1.09 for Detroit City, 0.57 for Hartford Athletic), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Detroit City sit 3rd on 51 points; Hartford Athletic are 6th on 43.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.