Over 1.5 goals@3.32
Over 1.5
30%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11Monday, 5 October 2026 · Estadio Guillermo Laza
Deportivo Riestra
15th · 11 pts1–1FULL TIME
Central Cordoba de Santiago
13th · 16 pts31% Deportivo
44% Draw
25% Central
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
0.59 – 0.51
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.27X2.2723.95
Goals 2.5Over9.43Under1.11
Both scoreGG5.24NG1.22
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.11
Under 2.5
90%
Both teams to score@1.22
NG
82%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
Deportivo RiestraCentral Cordoba de Santiago0.3Goals per game0.7
0.8Conceded per game1.3
0.69Points per game1.00
6%Win rate25%
-7Goal difference-10
2Form, last 5 (pts)2
Deportivo Riestra form
LLDLDH Talleres Cordoba0–3
A Instituto Cordoba1–0
H Union Santa Fe1–1
A San Lorenzo1–0
H Central Cordoba de Santiago1–1
Central Cordoba de Santiago form
LLDDDH Velez Sarsfield0–5
A Newells Old Boys2–1
H Estudiantes L.P.2–2
A Deportivo Riestra1–1
H Defensa Y Justicia2–2
Head to head
2
Deportivo
2
Draw
1
Central
Oct 2026Deportivo Riestra – Central Cordoba de Santiago1–1
Mar 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago – Deportivo Riestra1–0
Sept 2025Deportivo Riestra – Central Cordoba de Santiago2–0
Mar 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago – Deportivo Riestra0–0
Aug 2024Deportivo Riestra – Central Cordoba de Santiago1–0
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Deportivo Riestra 31%, the draw 44%, Central Cordoba de Santiago 25%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.1 goals in total (0.59 for Deportivo Riestra, 0.51 for Central Cordoba de Santiago), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Riestra sit 15th on 11 points; Central Cordoba de Santiago are 13th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.