Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 5Friday, 30 October 2026 · Santiago de las Atalayas
Deportivo Pereira
20th · 10 pts1–0FULL TIME
Jaguares
16th · 18 pts35% Deportivo
26% Draw
39% Jaguares
OUR PICK
Jaguares to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.36
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.83X3.8322.59
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Deportivo PereiraJaguares0.8Goals per game1.1
1.7Conceded per game1.7
0.53Points per game0.95
5%Win rate26%
-17Goal difference-13
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Deportivo Pereira form
WDWDDH Jaguares1–0
A Once Caldas1–1
H Chico2–0
A Junior1–1
H Deportivo Cali0–0
Jaguares form
LWLLWA Deportivo Pereira1–0
H Llaneros1–0
A Santa Fe2–1
A Millonarios4–1
H Deportes Tolima3–2
Head to head
3
Deportivo
1
Draw
1
Jaguares
Oct 2026Deportivo Pereira – Jaguares1–0
May 2026Deportivo Pereira – Jaguares1–0
Feb 2026Jaguares – Deportivo Pereira1–0
Nov 2024Jaguares – Deportivo Pereira1–2
Apr 2024Deportivo Pereira – Jaguares0–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Deportivo Pereira 35%, the draw 26%, Jaguares 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.29 for Deportivo Pereira, 1.36 for Jaguares), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Pereira sit 20th on 10 points; Jaguares are 16th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.