Over 1.5 goals@1.59
Over 1.5
63%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 14Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Santiago de las Atalayas
Deportivo Pereira
20th · 10 pts0–0FULL TIME
Deportivo Cali
9th · 27 pts21% Deportivo
28% Draw
51% Deportivo
OUR PICK
Deportivo Cali to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.97
Expected goals
0.77 – 1.36
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.72X3.5721.97
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.56
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.66
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.56
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.66
NG
60%
Double chance@1.27
X2
79%
Season stats
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Cali0.8Goals per game1.1
1.7Conceded per game0.8
0.53Points per game1.42
5%Win rate37%
-17Goal difference4
9Form, last 5 (pts)9
Deportivo Pereira form
WDWDDH Jaguares1–0
A Once Caldas1–1
H Chico2–0
A Junior1–1
H Deportivo Cali0–0
Deportivo Cali form
WDWDDH Chico2–0
A Fortaleza FC1–1
A Llaneros0–3
H Junior0–0
A Deportivo Pereira0–0
Head to head
2
Deportivo
1
Draw
2
Deportivo
Oct 2026Deportivo Pereira – Deportivo Cali0–0
Mar 2026Deportivo Cali – Deportivo Pereira1–0
Oct 2025Deportivo Cali – Deportivo Pereira1–0
Apr 2025Deportivo Pereira – Deportivo Cali2–0
Jul 2024Deportivo Cali – Deportivo Pereira0–2
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Cali slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.97 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.77 for Deportivo Pereira, 1.36 for Deportivo Cali), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Pereira sit 20th on 10 points; Deportivo Cali are 9th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.