Over 1.5 goals@1.48
Over 1.5
68%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 17Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Santiago de las Atalayas
Deportivo Pereira
20th · 10 pts21:30KICK-OFF WAT
Deportes Tolima
6th · 31 pts17% Deportivo
25% Draw
58% Deportes
OUR PICK
Deportes Tolima to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
0.74 – 1.59
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.79X4.0021.73
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.70
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
58%
Double chance@1.21
X2
83%
Season stats
Deportivo PereiraDeportes Tolima0.8Goals per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game0.9
0.53Points per game1.63
5%Win rate42%
-17Goal difference10
9Form, last 5 (pts)2
Deportivo Pereira form
WDWDDH Jaguares1–0
A Once Caldas1–1
H Chico2–0
A Junior1–1
H Deportivo Cali0–0
Deportes Tolima form
LLLDDH Deportivo Pasto0–1
A Águilas Doradas2–1
A Jaguares3–2
A Atletico Nacional0–0
H Chico0–0
Head to head
1
Deportivo
1
Draw
3
Deportes
Apr 2026Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pereira2–0
Jul 2025Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pereira1–0
Feb 2025Deportivo Pereira – Deportes Tolima0–0
Oct 2024Deportivo Pereira – Deportes Tolima1–0
Mar 2024Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pereira2–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Deportes Tolima clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.73 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.74 for Deportivo Pereira, 1.59 for Deportes Tolima), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Pereira sit 20th on 10 points; Deportes Tolima are 6th on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.