Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 15Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Santiago de las Atalayas
Deportivo Pereira
20th · 10 pts2–0FULL TIME
Chico
18th · 17 pts37% Deportivo
29% Draw
34% Chico
OUR PICK
Deportivo Pereira to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.67
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.09
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.67X3.4822.95
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.64
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.84
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.84
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
71%
Season stats
Deportivo PereiraChico0.8Goals per game0.8
1.7Conceded per game1.7
0.53Points per game0.89
5%Win rate26%
-17Goal difference-17
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Deportivo Pereira form
WDWDDH Jaguares1–0
A Once Caldas1–1
H Chico2–0
A Junior1–1
H Deportivo Cali0–0
Chico form
LDWLLA Deportivo Cali2–0
H Junior1–1
H Bucaramanga1–0
A Deportivo Pereira2–0
H Atletico Nacional1–4
Head to head
2
Deportivo
2
Draw
1
Chico
Oct 2026Deportivo Pereira – Chico2–0
Apr 2026Chico – Deportivo Pereira1–0
Sept 2025Chico – Deportivo Pereira1–1
Apr 2025Deportivo Pereira – Chico1–1
Aug 2024Deportivo Pereira – Chico1–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Deportivo Pereira 37%, the draw 29%, Chico 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.16 for Deportivo Pereira, 1.09 for Chico), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Pereira sit 20th on 10 points; Chico are 18th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.