Over 1.5 goals@1.75
Over 1.5
57%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 32Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Deportivo Moron
3rd · 61 pts2–1FULL TIME
All Boys
11th · 41 pts54% Deportivo
29% Draw
17% All
OUR PICK
Deportivo Moron to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.60
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.84X3.4725.91
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.43
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
Deportivo MoronAll Boys1.5Goals per game0.6
1.0Conceded per game0.8
1.69Points per game1.14
50%Win rate22%
16Goal difference-8
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Deportivo Moron form
WLLLWH Ciudad de Bolívar2–0
A Almirante Brown1–0
H Atletico Mitre0–2
A CA Estudiantes2–0
H All Boys2–1
All Boys form
WWDDLH CA Estudiantes1–0
A Racing Cordoba1–2
A Los Andes1–1
H Godoy Cruz0–0
A Deportivo Moron2–1
Head to head
2
Deportivo
2
Draw
1
All
Oct 2026Deportivo Moron – All Boys2–1
May 2026All Boys – Deportivo Moron1–0
Sept 2023Deportivo Moron – All Boys0–0
May 2023All Boys – Deportivo Moron0–2
May 2022Deportivo Moron – All Boys0–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Moron clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.32 for Deportivo Moron, 0.60 for All Boys), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Moron sit 3rd on 61 points; All Boys are 11th on 41.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.