Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti
Deportivo Maipu
3–1FULL TIME
Club Atlético Güemes
70% Deportivo
19% Draw
11% Club
OUR PICK
Deportivo Maipu to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
2.08 – 0.69
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.43X5.2428.93
Goals 2.5Over1.91Under1.97
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
56%
Double chance@1.13
1X
89%
Deportivo Maipu form
DWLDWA Tristan Suarez0–0
H Club Atlético Güemes3–1
A Chacarita Juniors1–0
H San Martin S.J.1–1
A Nueva Chicago0–1
Club Atlético Güemes form
DLWLLH Temperley2–2
A Deportivo Maipu3–1
H Almagro2–1
A Patronato2–0
H Colegiales0–1
Head to head
1
Deportivo
2
Draw
2
Club
Oct 2026Deportivo Maipu – Club Atlético Güemes3–1
Jun 2026Club Atlético Güemes – Deportivo Maipu1–0
Jul 2025Deportivo Maipu – Club Atlético Güemes1–1
Mar 2025Club Atlético Güemes – Deportivo Maipu1–1
Sept 2024Club Atlético Güemes – Deportivo Maipu4–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Maipu clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (2.08 for Deportivo Maipu, 0.69 for Club Atlético Güemes), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.