Over 1.5 goals@1.51
Over 1.5
66%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Estadio Abel Sastre
Deportivo Madryn
4th · 60 pts4–1FULL TIME
San Telmo
12th · 41 pts60% Deportivo
25% Draw
15% San
OUR PICK
Deportivo Madryn to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.67
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.67X4.0426.48
Goals 2.5Over2.36Under1.66
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Under 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
Deportivo MadrynSan Telmo1.4Goals per game0.8
0.9Conceded per game1.1
1.67Points per game1.14
44%Win rate28%
21Goal difference-11
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Deportivo Madryn form
WWDLWA San Miguel0–1
H San Telmo4–1
A Acassuso0–0
H Chaco For Ever1–2
A Ferro Carril Oeste0–2
San Telmo form
WLDLWH Central Norte1–0
A Deportivo Madryn4–1
H Defensores De Belgrano0–0
A Ciudad de Bolívar1–0
H Almirante Brown3–2
Head to head
2
Deportivo
1
Draw
2
San
Oct 2026Deportivo Madryn – San Telmo4–1
Jun 2026San Telmo – Deportivo Madryn0–0
Sept 2024Deportivo Madryn – San Telmo1–0
Apr 2024San Telmo – Deportivo Madryn2–1
May 2022San Telmo – Deportivo Madryn2–1
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo Madryn clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.60 for Deportivo Madryn, 0.67 for San Telmo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo Madryn sit 4th on 60 points; San Telmo are 12th on 41.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.