Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
ESPLa Liga · Matchday 11Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadio de Riazor
Deportivo La Coruna
12th · 11 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Osasuna
14th · 11 pts60% Deportivo
22% Draw
18% Osasuna
OUR PICK
Deportivo La Coruna to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.88 – 0.92
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.67X4.5225.56
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.96NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.96
GG
51%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
Deportivo La CorunaOsasuna1.3Goals per game1.0
1.3Conceded per game2.0
1.10Points per game1.10
20%Win rate30%
0Goal difference-10
2Form, last 5 (pts)4
Deportivo La Coruna form
WLDLLA Auriense0–3
A Atletico Madrid1–0
H Levante1–1
A Real Sociedad3–2
H FC Porto1–3
Osasuna form
WLWLDA Atletico Calatayud0–6
A Sevilla2–0
H Racing Santander2–0
A Real Betis5–2
H Rayo Vallecano1–1
Head to head
2
Deportivo
1
Draw
2
Osasuna
Dec 2021Deportivo La Coruna – Osasuna1–2
Apr 2019Osasuna – Deportivo La Coruna2–1
Nov 2018Deportivo La Coruna – Osasuna2–0
Apr 2017Osasuna – Deportivo La Coruna2–2
Dec 2016Deportivo La Coruna – Osasuna2–0
La Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Barcelona11+3430
2Atletico Madrid11+1428
3Real Madrid10+1524
4Real Betis11+323
5Real Sociedad10+119
6Sevilla10017
7Athletic Club9+312
8Villarreal11012
9Celta Vigo11012
10Alaves11-212
Match preview
Our model makes Deportivo La Coruna clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.88 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.92 for Osasuna), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Deportivo La Coruna sit 12th on 11 points; Osasuna are 14th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.